Dry

(Images: Morning KSC Sounding shows very dry air aloft and a sample of various directions that a yet to develop tropical low could take. If viewing this in Facebook click on link to see both images.)

Short post today. Stacked high pressure over the Western Atlantic across the Central and Northern Florida peninsula remains firmly entrenched. KSC sounding is showing a PWAT of 1.18" which is possibly less than 10% of normal. That speaks for itself in the short term (today). Conditions to persist through tomorrow as well.

The tropical area of interest between Hispaniola and Puerto Rico is doing nothing other than moving toward the WNW @ 10mph...and this trend will continue. The National Hurricane Center has called off an earlier scheduled fly by of this area for the day to boot.

Included in this post is a sample of the direction that this area could take if it develops a closed circulation. If anything in this graphic causes confusion ignore the entire product. It is not for planning purposes. Believe this area will develop a closed circulation but just exactly where it does so might be a surprise to all. Thus, until when or if this does occur further discussion would be pure speculation. At this time I see no reason why any significant organization would occur, at least not for the next 24 hours.

About the only thing that might be worth mentioning is that assuming the system does not wash out it COULD bring enough moisture and instability to the area by over night Thursday into Friday to consider upping our chance of rain showers significantly. I'm not entirely ready to totally bite on even that notion though. Tomorrow is another day ...so until then...