"There's Got to be a Morning After" |
"MAY DAY! MAY DAY! " |
"ARCUS DEFINES THE GUST FRONT OF STORM: MAY 1, 2014" |
TODAY: Not much change from past 'blog posts' regarding today and tomorrow. Frontal boundary is located close to if not just south of I-4 and little change in location is expected today. Some flood watch or two for a county has been hoisted over along the west coast as a result of persistent moderate to heavy rainfall there, but not so sure that the focus won't shift to the east coast later today through Saturday.
Other than cloud cover resulting in less instability as was expected to occur, winds aloft will be increasing as will upper level divergence going into later today through Saturday as the mid-upper level troughs lower in latitude and shift east from their present locations. The mid-upper level trough supporting this frontal boundary is still located way back across East Central Texas extending Northeastward but will nudge in during the next 24 hours increasing speed shear aloft.
Though impossible to forecast, it might be worth watching for a " later in the day 'outflow' " extending southward from the current area of rainfall resulting in a new focus area south of the current area of rain. How far south that outflow might go though, if it happens at all, is up in the air.
Therefore, in speculation, we might see some unexpected rainfall totals later today or tonight into Saturday somewhere along the east coast.
BEYOND SATURDAY: Not expecting mentionable weather for a number of days with a return to near normal early May weather, minus any rain chances.
LATEST MESOSCALE ANALYSIS LINK SHOWS "FRONTO-GENESIS AT THE SURFACE WITHIN THE RED CIRCLES |
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