Chance of Isolated Strong to Pulse Severe Storms Mainly South Half Interior Later Today

Storm Outflow Bears Down on Cape Canaveral Saturday

TODAY: Pattern of recent days is breaking down, with today being about the last of the greater coverage of storms, and possibly a much less chance of the immediate beaches seeing rain today, though not impossible.  South half of state is becoming very unstable already as of noon with the Local Data Integration System (LDIS) showing CAPE nearly 5500 J/kg (compared to winter when CAPE is running around 0 -500), coupled with continued cold (but perhaps not quite as cold as previous days) aloft. Sea breeze convergence  will work more effectively today than previous days, but both coast's sea breeze might only work slowly inland with no real particular side favored, though steering continues to be from the west to WNW toward the east side,  but only at around 10 mph at best.   Will also watch an apparent boundary in the lower to mid levels running east to west north of I-4 for some stronger storms though , noted as shown below.

There might be some surprises close to the Dashed Blue boundary shown above which lies around 8-10,000 feet above ground level. South of that line is where the greater instability lies, especially over the south half of the state toward the west side.  Just about anywhere could see some thunder though about  5-10 miles from any coast though some might drift back to the east coast north of Vero Beach

New Storm Goes up off Cape Canaveral Yesterday

BEYOND: Rainy days have come to and end pretty much for anyone that lives east of  US-1 up and down the coast other than for some coastal shower chances to work into the equation late in the week. Guidance is showing decreasing atmospheric moisture across the boards even come Wednesday into Thursday. The odd ball is the North American Model (NAM) run this morning, which showed a weak mid level circulation forming close to Brevard County overnight resulting in clouds and showers over the East Side of the state off and on tomorrow,  but will toss that out and hope for the best.

Other than storms developing inland and moving away from the east coast (and decreasing in coverage), not much to write about heading into next weekend due to how far out in time it is to bother discussing a future cast that could possibly  hold any validity.

Sunrise This Father's Day, Jetty Park, Cape Canaveral