Summer Begins Today with Storms To Follow by Friday

 

 

TODAY June 21: Summer Solstice was at 5:13AM EDT , so we are now officially in SUMMER 2022!

As for the weather across  'The Sunshine State' it will mostly live up to the misnomer today, Wednesday and Thursday (though North Florida could see some activity), of being a 'sunshine state' that is. On the other hand the saying will be true, not much of a chance of rain anywhere across much of the state except toward  South Florida.

In general, the current pattern we've been in is going to break down as the Summer Heat Ridge over much of the country east of the Rocky Mountains will begin to weaken and retrograde further west. This does not look good for much of the already Drought Stricken parts of the country though .  For those of us further East, especially the Southeast states, the retrograde will be a 'good thing' if you need the rain (which we do).

In general, from Friday well on into the Weekend and all of next week we will see a  broadly disorganized region of "Low Pressure" centered around the Florida/Georgia Border which will increase rain/storm chances in a wide variety of ways depending on what else is going on each day with wind fields, instability, and general atmospheric moisture availability. 

I will leave this post short just to get us started since each day will be different in it's own way once this pattern change  comes up then begins to evolve , taking on different characteristics about every other day for a good 10 days it now appears.

 What that all means is, 'summer weather in Florida the way you'd expect it to be (more or less).

To get us started (however) it does also appear at some point that an inverted coastal trough (roughly tracing the Gulf Stream offshore) could be in play some of the overnight to early morning period which will act as a region of convergence for ocean showers/storms to form over night. This activity would mainly remain 'off shore' but some of it could come ashore. That means, beginning around Saturday for the next week to follow there might be some storms/showers offshore overnight that 'might' come ashore, especially South Central to South Florida.

But for starters, the outlook for FRIDAY looks like NE Florida could be at risk for storms (some strong) in the region shown below in "Red". North to Central Brevard 'might' also see rain chances on Thursday very late, perhaps after midnight, but that risk is rather 'iffy' as it stands now

The area in 'GOLD" is the area we are most likely to see storms beginning mid-afternoon to well into the evening on SATURDAY. Sunday will be similar but perhaps with even greater coverage state wide.

Strong Storms possible from near the North Shores of Lake Okeechobee northward, Saturday.

Again, on Friday the risk of storms appears will be limited to mainly the area from Indian River County northward but the risk expands on Saturday and then many days to follow.

Storm motion will be slow and in some cases dictated by outflow boundaries and "Lake/Sea Breezes"

In other words, SUMMER ...but SUMMER with PUNCH.