Late Season Cold Front To Clear North Central At Sunset

SYNOPSIS: A cold front near to just north of the I-4 will sink south and east during the course of today.
Preceding the front will be pleasant SWS winds at 10-20mph at times under sunny to partly cloudy skies.
The front will lie very close to the Beach Line, the Great Divide, at sunset.

EARLY MORNING LOCATION OF FRONT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING WHEN  WE SAVED THE IMAGE. THIS FRONT WILL BE VERY NEAR THE BEACHLINE AT SUNSET. I BELIEVE THE AIRMASS OVER SOUTH EAST FLORIDA WILL HAVE BEEN TOO STABILIZED EARLY THIS MORNING FOR ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES, ALTHOUGH THEY COULD DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDER IT  APPEARS COULD OCCUR EITHER NORTH OR SOUTH OF A LAKE SHADOW, WITH SOME LIGHT SHOWERS JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AFTER NOON TO 7PM.

FORECAST FOR TODAY: Florida is still embedded within an unseasonably deep 500 mb trough; the configuration of the trough axis is now no longer negatively tilted as was the case yesterday and the day befre, but is becoming more oriented North / South..or will be by Monday while the front gets alinged with the flow aloft  and sinks off South Florida by later Tuesday


There is a chance of a shower or two very close to the front, mainly on the east side of the state after noon time near Daytona toward North Brevard. As the afternoon wears on toward peak heating, it is possible a thunderstorm could occur very close toward the east coast, but more than likely any thunderstorm to occur over North Central Florida will only be a rain shower until moving offshore. The best time for that to occur today will be as the boundary enters North Brevard between 4-7 pm from Orange County toward Port St John to Cocoa Beach just ahead of the boundary. Otherwise, there is no boundaries to 'play' with today in the absence of the Sea Breeze. Should the C-Breeze Develop the chance of thunder along the very immediate coast increases, but that would still be within the given time frame and locations. There is no chance of rain once the front has cleared, and for the most part, the chance of the sea breeze today is very very low. Highs today will be in the low 80Fs, with the air beginning to dry out some.


Elsewhere, there is a chance of a thunderstorm, which would be stronger, in Palm Beach County after 2pm due to the Lake Okeechobee and perhaps far SW -SE Florida around the Lake Shadow and warmer temperatures. It does not appear there will be a sea breeze there either, but the chance does exist, and is the most likely candidate.


BEYOND: A secondary front accompanied by very strong winds aloft will cross Central and South Florida during Monday and Tuesday. However, like today...despite how strong the wind aloft is with impulses and vorticity passing over head..moisture is very limited and low level forcing with what moisture there is would likely only result in clouds below the stronger winds above them. Some showers, at this time, are possible at almost any time. The best chance of thunder would be over far South Florida, but that chance looks very low as well due to limited, although more that north or south central, moisture.


THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK will be dry with very cool mornings for this time of year.  for two morning. Could see some mid-upper 50Fs on Wednesday morning when the second front has cleared with one day or two of highs just below 80F to 82F.  The air over Florida will begin to moderate from South to North ahead of another approaching front for next weekend. Some showers and thunder might occur this this front...but we'll leave it as partly cloudy until the writing is on the wall and the timing of its arrival, assuming it even does, draws closer.