Return to near Winter-Like Temperatures This Week

Prefrontal Trough (dashed black line) is moving east and south this afternoon. The parent cold front in blue lags 12-18 hours behind this boundary and will cross North Central to Central Florida over night

TODAY: Breezy SW-WSW winds 15-25mph with stronger gusts ahead of pre-frontal trough and parent cold front.  Although there is a chance of strong storms with this boundary as it moves down the state this afternoon, at this time it appears that sufficient moisture to support said activity will be drawn off the to northeast around the low centered over South Carolina, so chances look pretty slim except along the west coast as far south as Tampa Bay. This is not a guaranteed certainty, but radar trends support this line of thinking, at least so far. Otherwise, breezy and warm. Winds could be quite gusty in and near rain or thunder which is expected to enter the Beach Line area around 3pm or so. Now, whether any rain will be associated with the boundary is sketchy at best. 

MONDAY: The actual cold front is expected to reach the area around I-4 sometime around 4AM and cross Dead Central within an hour before or after sunrise. Winds becoming WNW as much drier air filters down the state, but still not too cool outside until the sun starts to set and the cold air advection becomes more realized Monday evening.

TUESDAY-FRIDAY MORNING: Quite cool to cold, especially along and west of I-95 in the morning hours through mid-morning. Frost might enter the forecast from Orlando and North by Thursday and Friday mornings as winds calm down sufficiently. Lows right at the coast in the mid-upper 40Fs and highs in the low-mid 60Fs. The coolest overall day appears will be Wednesday with Thursday not far behind in the morning hours at least.

NEXT WEEKEND (EASTER): Gradual warming trend most notable begins Saturday, and even warmer on Easter Sunday with sunny skies and light winds after Wednesday from the ENE to East, becoming Southeast by Easter. It also looks so far that it could be a while before rain enters the forecast again with several more warm days ahead from Easter into the first 5 days of April.