Chance of Strong / Severe Storms Will Exist Today Beginning Late Morning

BLOG INFO ONLY: Refer to official outlets for Updates and Details
Details could change hourly if not on the quarter hour

TODAY: The first of two primary impulses cleared the area by sunrise with some lightning and heavier rains primarily far East Central. The next impulse now is approaching with the actual cold front still way to the west and nearly 24 hours behind.  

NOW: Latest Mesoscale analysis page is showing continued directional shear as opposed to the more unidirectional flow indicated by model guidance of earlier runs which makes for rotating storms though suspect the more unidirectional flow will begin to manifest later today. The Storm Prediction Center does have all of Central Florida in a 'Slight Risk" for Severe meaning that though there are particulars that would warrant or call for severe weather, it's not necessarily so, or that the coverage of 'said activity' does not appear to be of a greater concern though elements of the atmosphere are at play they might   come together just right. As I type the weather radio is going off. We are now in a Tornado Watch until 5pm and it covers the red area already drawn above as far north as the yellow line (to the north of Central Florida) 

LATER TODAY: Activity will work east from the west coast  spreading toward East Central by Noon - 2pm. We might receive more than one storm in any one location (though not necessarily strong or severe). Some areas might receive some good rainfall totals as heavy downpours, hail up to severe size as well (1" or more), are possible. And apparently, the Storm Prediction Center is in agreement that there is too much of a potential for some rotating storms to let it fly without bringing it to our attention. Not all areas by any means will experience severe weather as the cases will remain somewhat isolated (if any do manifest). Severe weather could occur on one end of a town, while the other side of town might experience nothing but rain and some thunder. Conditions could change rapidly as well, so best advised if possible to have local TV channels on or have your handheld APP ready to view.

BEYOND: Rain chances will not end entirely until early Sunday morning, but the severe chances should be over with by early evening (if not much sooner). Temperatures behind the front will not be 'terribly cold' but seasonably quite cool in the mornings especially for those away from the immediate coast for a few mornings. Rain is not on the horizon for a good week as it looks now (at least).