A Few Stronger Storms South Central/South Florida Later Today

Early Morning in Cape Canaveral

TODAY: A variation of the past two days with only minors changes in the over-all scheme of things. Already as of 12:45pm, showers and some thunder is migrating across Central Florida into the Orlando area heading toward the east coast. Cloud coverage is holding on but thinning rapidly in many areas other than an area over South Florida which will be moving out in to the mid afternoon. With little chance of a sea breeze north of Sebastian Inlet, suspect most storms over Central Florida will not be terribly strong though some stronger wind gusts in the mid 30 mph to near 40 mph is always possible as was the case yesterday. The greater threat today will exist more than likely over South Florida where a solid sea breeze on the east coast has already set up over Dade/Broward/.Palm Beach Counties.

SUNDAY: Ridge axis at the low levels will work north toward Central Florida allowing the sea breeze to come into play. Much of what occurs tomorrow will be contingent upon how quickly cloud coverage clears out over night tonight , allowing the atmosphere more time to destabilize. Steering will again be toward the east side but at a much slower pace, so heavier rainfall totals could occur on Sunday in 'the chosen yet to be known of' areas, mainly inland as it would appear now. The ridge axis will work north toward I-10 going into late Monday and remain there at least the first half of next week.

MONDAY-THURSDAY: Still looks like there could be a few coastal showers a few mornings with lingering deep precipitable water values in the 1.65 - 1.8" range, though this is not a given. More likely will be thunderstorms mainly along to west of I-95, and same holds true equidistant from the immediate west coast most of the first half of next week. The GFS is flailing on whether another upper level trough will press the ridge axis south to at least Central if not South Central toward next weekend which would then favor more toward the east side of the state again, either way, steering looks to be the typical 'very weak', which would support low level convergence from sea breezes and lake breeze interactions being the main cause of activity (typical summer like pattern).