TODAY: Slight chance of a quick shower almost anywhere though at time the KSC Sample of the Atmosphere aloft showed too dry for much of anything though expect that was temporary per RAP model guidance and precipitation coverage depicted on the High Rez-Rapid Refresh, HRRR.
Most activity will take the form of 'mere' rain showers, though thunder could occur along the east side east mainly of I-95 except South Florida where I-95 runs much closer to the coast. Better chances of any thunder there and east of Lake Okeechobee either side of the Lake Shadow and perhaps near the Cape briefly as well or north of Melbourne Beach though most thunder if any will occur perhaps just off shore the east coast north of Ft Pierce.
Better chances of thunder also east coast North Volusia and north, with some stronger storms yet further north and west across the Panhandle.
MONDAY: Similar set up, likely with some variables so at this time no need to allude to that time in depth OTHER THAN there might be greater moisture further south, such that parts of North Central could end up in a similar situation to the one the region closer to I-4 is in today.
TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY: Transition day as ridge axis at the lower levels lifts a bit further north allowing better sea breeze convergence activities to resume ...suspect these two days will be a bit similar with perhaps another transition going into later in the week. Temperatures aloft are continuing to shall a fall (colder aloft) and thus would be watching for stronger storms than what will be experienced Today and Monday.
NEXT WEEKEND: By next weekend sea breeze convergence and steering might for several days favor interior and west before another trough begins to carve across the country and flip flop the pattern, but that is too far out in time and subject to change.
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