The ashes of Fred have finally arrived as discussed yesterday. The first sign occurred last night around 10pm when the Canaveral area received just under 1/2" of rain in short order. Since that time most of the rainfall has been focused over the southern half of the county, but there's more in store for the rest of the day.
For today, the inverted trough axis is currently situated along the western Brevard County area with a heap of moisture waiting in its wings over the Atlantic. Shower activity extends beyond the scope of the radar. This activity will exist off an on throughout the day with partly to mostly cloudy skies.
The trough axis will continue to slide westward during the day and into the night and will be quickly followed by a ridge axis which now resides along the U.S. East Coast. Once that ridge axis becomes the dominating feature the rain will come to an abrupt halt. Timing as to when exactly this will happen is a bit sketchy, but it currently appears it will be by noon Thursday. After that rain/thunderstorm activity will be limited to the inland areas and along the West Coast.
As the ridge axis strengthens the west coast may even find it difficult to squeeze out some rain..but that's almost out of the range of a daily blog issuance, so will leave that discussion to a more appropriate time frame.
It still appears that a cold front is going to try to penetrate the Deep South during the beginning of next week. This front will actually come as a "backdoor" one...meaning it will sink in from the northeast rather than from west or northwest. There is a variety of potential resultant outcomes from a backdoor front being from benign to a rainfall event as can happen this time of year. But for now it appears the only affect will be to drop morning temperatures into the low-mid 70s for a day or two...with the west half of the state seeing the greatest cool down in the morning. That's still quite a way off, so to generate a full blown forecast for this time frame would be nothing more than adding more hearsay to the fire. Just keep a heads up come the Tuesday to Wednesday time frame.