"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
“The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the National Weather Service or affiliate/related organizations. Please consult .gov sites for official information”

"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Tuesday, December 31, 2013

New Year's To Arrive, As Scheduled, with a Hitchhiker on Board

 A New Calendar Year Will Arrive Tonight ,  as Scheduled  

TODAY/TONIGHT: Little overall changes today with gradual warming temperatures and increased cloud cover at times ; light easterly wind for the most part.  There are some cloud breaks Central, but mainly over South Florida early this afternoon where temperatures are well into the 70Fs. Same will hold for tonight, New Year's Eve, with very little to no chance of rain until near midnight or thereafter; mainly not expecting any rains over Central until after 2-3AM in the morning through early  - mid morning Wednesday as a warm front at 2000 AGL (above ground) begins to form and lift north. This boundary will work to the surface but not clear Central Florida until around 8pm Wednesday evening. Most rains will occur along and north of that boundary due to increasing isentropic lift and increasing upper level divergence above the boundary associated with the Jet Stream level winds (the core of which is well north of Florida). 

NEW YEAR'S DAY: As a result, tomorrow will not be too far off from what it is like today, but a bit warmer, and possibly more cloud cover, but rains it appears for the most part 'should' hold off  (other than some sprinkles) until  well after midnight (which would be a good and safe thing for drivers).

THURSDAY: Possibly showers in the morning toward late morning but some clearing and much warmer, with winds breezy from the SW at 12-18 mph as the warm front progresses further toward I-10.  Chance of thunder, and maybe some strong wind gusts along the I-4 and south to along a Titusville to north Tampa Bay Line by late afternoon into early evening. Rains elsewhere possible but most of the earlier part of the day should be nearly rain free south of I-4 until at least early to mid afternoon. A cold front will press through all of Central from 4pm to 8pm with much cooler air to follow, especially after 9pm Thursday night; drier and much cooler air filter in all evening and through early Friday morning accompanied by a 'fresh breeze' from the NNW will make it feel all the more 'chilly' from what we've been accustomed to for quite some time.

Chance of heavier rainfall totals North Florida, and Some Thunder with a stronger wind gust possible Central, with decreasing rain chances further to South Florida as upper support will have pulled away from the state by the time the front gets that far south
FRIDAY: Breezy and 'too cool' out for hanging around in shorts in open air locations. Highs might reach 60F along an Orlando to Melbourne line and south more so, but north of those locations 60F might not be seen until after dark along the beach, which doesn't sound to make sense at first glance.

SATURDAY: Along the A1A strip temperatures might actually RISE over night, so that Saturday morning will dawn WARMER than it ever was Friday afternoon. Temperatures to hold in the mid-upper 60Fs into the dark Saturday night due to winds becoming more easterly after dark Friday night, and then...

SUNDAY: ...Again, east of US1 and more so A1A, this day will dawn even yet warmer again with sunrise temperatures closer to 70F..courtesy of easterly winds.

NEXT WEEK: Very sticky time frame. There continues to be an indicator of 'near severe' weather in the 8-9th of January time frame, but that option seems to appear less often than more so. The GFS is struggling with the next system. The Battle Field appears to be between the Southern Branch Jet going across the Baja to Florida vs. a  Cold Air Core Low over James Bay and it's associated Jet Stream duking it out...guidance varies vastly from one run of the model to the time will tell.

" Let the Good Times Roll"

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