"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
“The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the National Weather Service or affiliate/related organizations. Please consult .gov sites for official information”

"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Monday, December 24, 2012

Similar Conditions To Today on Christmas, Possible Storms Day After

Possible Strong Storms/Severe Weather on Wednesday Mainly Along/North of I-4
TODAY/CHRISTMAS: As anticipated, Southern Branch Jet Stream Cirrus began to stream in on Sunday, and such will likely be the cast into Christmas Day...with some holes here and there. We could see a small drying slot for a portion of the day tomorrow with some clearer breaks in cloud cover, but otherwise winds to remain from a southerly component as the atmosphere in the low levels continues to recover (warms/more moist) from the last dry/cold spell. Winds tomorrow might be a little less breezy, but otherwise the day will be meteorologically non-event-filled. 

Out side of the local area, the potential for very severe weather encompassing strongly rotating thunderstorm updrafts with  accompanying  tornadoes (some strong) appears to be in the lime-light for a very similar swath of which mimics the big Tuscaloosa Tornado/Birmingham Event of a while back now that made infamous that city amongst many others. Although the set up so far does not appear to be as violent as a history book maker, it only takes one long tracking violent storm to pack a punch. That would be on Christmas day of all times. Mainly from Southern Louisiana  Southern Mississippi/Central and Southern Alabama as well...and into the West Florida Panhandle to a much lesser degree.

DAY AFTER CHRISTMAS: The same storm system and accompanying frontal boundary will jettison toward the Mid-Atlantic states to just offshore drawing, curling back moist Atlantic air into a cold air mass toward the "Storm Sandy Swath Zone" including other parts of New England. Could see some big and heavy snowfall totals in some areas between late the 26th through December 27th.

Meanwhile closer to home, the same front will pass through the panhandle toward Central Florida by late afternoon. Wind fields will become more aligned with the front as it gets toward I-4, but there will be some respectable instability and accumulated bulk shear as the boundary approaches portions of Central Florida. At this time, the Storm Prediction Center is watching for potential Severe running along a line from Tampa Bay toward Southern Volusia County, with possible stronger activity as far south as South Florida. Thus, the image above might be on the conservative side. It is based primarily on the GFS model which has been consistent in regard to at least where rain will fall, and South Florida has not been a part of it, at least not yet according to that model.

27th and 28th: Quick cool down into morning lows in the 40Fs wide spread, but it will not be as breezy nor prolonged, another low pressure system and front appears will be quickly in the making toward the coast of Louisiana once again.  By the 29th warm air once again ushers north prior to that morning. This is the day that Central Florida might be on the look out for a better chance of severe weather. Like waves come in sets in the ocean, so too are the 'air-waves'..this particular set appears will be on the wane after the end of the year boundary, with another yet too to follow, but details remain sketchy on what kind of rain impact another boundary will have going into 2013. So far, it looks like the atmosphere will not have much time to recover back from the system which is so far expected around or on the 29th, with a prolonged cool to cold spell in store, but again, nothing as cold as what we've just experienced; only it will be very persistent in nature with re-enforcing shots of high pressure moving across the state .  

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