"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Monday, October 25, 2010

First Canaveral Rain In Nearly a Month - Dry Elsewhere

(Images: Cape Canaveral received 0.27" of rain around 8AM this morning. The last measurable amount was 0.07" on October 5th. The images show the decent Theta-E gradient in this area at the time. This was also along the leading edge of a pool of much deeper moisture aloft that entered the area from the SSE as also shown by the little pool of 'blue')

SYNOPSIS: Monster low-mid level low pressure encompasses much of the country this morning. This thing is a beast. In fact, at this current time tornado watch boxes now cover the west 1/2 of Georgia, east half of Alabama, as well as the Florida Panhandle. The strengthening area of low pressure was responsible for 3 tornadoes in East Texas, 1 in Tennessee, and 1 in extreme SE Alabama just west of the Florida border near the town of Eleanor, Alabama yesterday. The low pressure area encompasses much of the country this morning except the Florida peninsula and well far away on the other side of the country in the Pacific NW where yet another one approaches.
TODAY: As noted in the image caption, it rained quite hard for about 3 minutes this morning in Cape Canaveral. Upon view of radar, it was the only shower anywhere in Central Florida, and likely only affected Cape Canaveral and the Port. Could barely make it out on radar. Otherwise, the moisture that is shown in the image will be around for a good portion of the morning with SSE-S surface winds and late summer like temperatures. Continued chance of a rain shower until noon.
From 1-6pm there could be an isolated thunderstorm or two primarily north of Vero Beach closer to the massive low pressure further to the north. Meanwhile, at the surface locally, Central Florida is on the southern cusp of high pressure stretched across the state. Clockwise flow around this high pressure is generating the southerly component winds and bringing in patches of greater moisture depth than what has been seen in these parts for quite some time. Thunderstorms in general will be hard to come by though, as being this late in the year the sea breeze/lake breeze mechanisms have a hard time being "fully operational" due to the lower sun angle and shorter period of strong surface heating. Also, there's no mid-upper level triggering mechanisms. Regardless, with little prohibitive factors in place we can throw some thunder in here and there. There was some over South Florida yesterday, but it was very isolated and weak in nature. Expecting similar up this way today.

TUESDAY: No reason at this point to believe that Tuesday will be much different than today. New model guidance is not out yet, so I'm going for the broad brush factor due to time constraints. First thing that stood out is that warmth will continue, particularly a few miles west of US 1 and all locations further inland.

WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY: Starting to look like high pressure will resume position almost directly overhead making for less chance of rain but continued warm temperatures.

TROPICS: Hurricane now Tropical Storm Richard is over the Yucatan Peninsula with winds of 45mph and moving WNW. Only a flood threat now. Else where, a large area of disturbed weather resides far out in the eastern Atlantic with little chance of development any time within the next few days.

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