"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Thursday, February 12, 2015

Not So Cold After-all ? Watching Wednesday for Storms

TODAY-THURSDAY: Gradual warming trend, at least through Thursday ahead of the next frontal passage slated to night time Thursday night into early Friday. No rain with highs in the mid-upper 60Fs to lower 70Fs both days but warmer on Thursday.

FRIDAY-TUESDAY: Yes, it will be very cool but the threat of near freezing temperatures or even mid-30Fs appears that it might be waning with successive model runs now. Temperature will be below 'normal' with highs on a few days only in the mid-upper 50Fs (perhaps) here and there, but Sunday especially which was seen to be quite cold is now not much different than other days.  There is more than on front foreseen but the details grow increasingly sketchy so will not attempt to get down to specifics but stick with generalities this morning.

That is only per the latest GFS though, and the previous run seemed to lean in this direction as well. Seems the colder air will now occur further west in the Plains as well and not penetrate as far into the Deep South of Florida south of I-10 toward the I-4.

WEDNESDAY: As of latest, possible strong storms with the strongest winds aloft in quite some time in the presence of the right exit region of a strong upper level jet. Best chances of 'strong' might be south of I-4 but much will depend on timing and that is still a good week away --  much could change.

BEYOND: It is now this period that  a truly cold blast is foreseen, yet short lived, with lows of freezing now again a threat, though it is getting late in the season and given how much has changed recently in the shorter term, not prepared to put much reliance on an outcast that extends over a week. On the other hand, the better news is that even if so, the GFS implies a prolonged warming trend.

To sum up, not quite as cold as 'feared' (though quite cool nonetheless) and chance of strong storms on Wednesday of next week for the time being.


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