|Small Thunderstorm West of Melbourne, FL Sunday Afternoon Viewed from Cape Canaveral|
TUESDAY: Ridge axis across Central to lift to North Florida leaving again dry locations dry (e.g. far east Central specifically).
WEDNESDAY: Again, though no two days exactly alike with varying amounts of moisture available it appears a trough will being to lower heights along the eastern seaboard eventually causing the low level Atlantic Ridge axis to shift toward South Central or even to retreat further east with less direct influence on the state -- even to possibly south of Lake Okeechobee for a day or two into the weekend. If so..
THURSDAY INTO MONDAY NEXT WEEK: Better chance of rain and thunderstorms close to the east coast early afternoon some days toward mid-evening. Even so, more cloud cover on certain days will put a dent in the heat for the over night hours by the mere presence of debris clouds in those areas that have not only not seen rain..by nary much more than a few clouds from time to time. The past two runs of the GFS are showing this to be the case as does the CVS-V2.
TROPICS: It looks like a named tropical storm will be forthcoming somewhere in the West Central Caribbean south of the Dominican Republic (and moving west ) possibly later today with no threat to Florida. Otherwise, both the GFS and CVS-V2 show the chance that an even better defined system might traverse along a similar course to enter the southeast Gulf of Mexico well out after Day 10. Whether the course of motion of 'said yet to exist system' is reliable is well too far out to bother being of concern (if it even does manifest), though the time draws nigh for the tropics to 'heat up' -- the ocean temps certainly have.
In any case, the hints are that it might be worth watching for come the August 10th time frame and beyond.