"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Monday, August 4, 2014

Sporadic and Erratic Slowly Eastward Moving Pea Soup Storms Most Anywhere, Anytime

(Greatest amalgamation of thunder sum total ) 
TODAY: Weak low pressure circulation off the coast or near St Augustine to move little today into tonight as 'Bertha' moves north and well east of Florida. This broad low  circulation could be eventually absorbed into the same trough that is steering Hurricane Bertha northward by tomorrow, moving this weaker circulation up the east coast of the U.S toward the Carolinas.

 A lingering boundary remains across Florida from near Jax as shown in the next image. Best chance of storms might be along it and just east of that boundary,. Temperatures aloft remain warm though and steering is only toward the east about around 5 mph, so large rainfall totals could accumulate wherever a storm manages to go up. Small chance of perhaps a funnel cloud or even waterspout off the coasts as was observed yesterday off New Smyrna Beach, with radar showing some rotation off Sebastian inlet early last evening per weather radio alert. These would be primarily of marine concerns.

BEYOND: The Atlantic Ridge axis is forecast to assert itself from across the Florida Straits for the next two days beyond and then lift toward Lake Okeechobee. How far north it proceeds from there has not been consistent through consecutive GFS model runs. But in general, a SW flow aloft seems to be the prevailing trend  but for a day or some somewhere along the line, which means a continuation of that type of pattern we've been seeing most of this summer. 

Temperatures aloft are not being shown to cool as much as was indicated earlier, so strong storms might not be as much a threat as previously surmised, at least not through Wednesday . Inevitably though, chances are that tomorrow and the next two days to follow will reveal at least one lingering boundary left in the wake of Bertha, one of which so far is being reflected to be across South Florida  slowly to work to Central by later in the week. 

Time will tell if such will be the case though. That is important for information purposes, because if a boundary or two does exist, this will determine where the greater concentration of storm and shower activity will focus .

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