"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Sunday, January 6, 2013

After Tonight - Tuesday, Above Average Temperatures into Mid-Month!

Ref. Captions: Variable conditions namely along  lines bounded by 'green' (above) from 2pm today toward sunrise Monday as pockets of 'energy' (red "x" s) move across the state from west to east and depart by morning 
TODAY: Warm front as vaguely materialize prior to sunrise resulting in pockets of fog and low clouds, with visibility general;y in the 1/4 to 1/2 mile range across much of Central Florida at 7AM. Per analysis, this somewhat of a 'faux warm front' is located near the surface across to north of the Beach Line, yet higher above ground it is much further north as circulation around high pressure to the east and across South Florida lifts it north as an approaching series of 'short wave disturbances/perturbations' in the flow yet higher above the ground from 5000 - 20,000 feet approach the state from the west south west. The net effect is not unlike two children with other ends of a 20 foot long  jump rope, with one waving his side upward sending a ripple effect to the child holding the other end of the rope 20 feet away.  (see the red "x" s)..those are the 'ripples' in the rope that are approaching.

""..... this "somewhat of a 'faux warm front' " is located near the surface across to north of the Beach Line, yet higher above ground it is much further north ""
LATER TODAY: Clearing and warmer by late morning, mainly south of the surface boundary. Muggy, with light southerly component winds developing. Instability will exist, but it is quite meager with Convective Instability (surface based, less than 1000 and Lifted Indices only perhaps -2C (compared to 5000 and -6 to -8 in the summer, for example). However, we could hear some rumbles or merely showers as shown in the orange parameters in the top image as a baseline, but not necessarily all inclusive (if at all) after 2pm - 6pm). Isolated if at all.

TONIGHT: Otherwise, as the disturbances/ripples/ "red x's" approach expect increasing clouds to move in and/or simply ''materialize out of thin air' after 2:00PM in various locations. Increasing clouds after 5 or 6pm ...with the best chance of over night rains co-existing along the surface (red) warm front as noted by the yellow bounds shown in the first image above. Some 'elevated thunder possible', that to cloud or in-cloud lightning strikes, but cloud to ground lightning does not look likely (yet).

MONDAY: Most, if not all activity, moving off shore by sunrise if not sooner, with winds becoming ENE. There could still be some cloudy conditions across the state on Monday, with cooler temperatures as a result thereof, as well as a chance of showers south of I-4 toward the east coast side from Daytona to Ft Lauderdale in the somewhat still moist easterly flow, since there really is no frontal passage ,..but a very shallow one at best (like the previous boundary).

TUESDAY: High pressure building southward from the NE Atlantic States will increase easterly flow toward the east to east-south-east  direction through the end of the upcoming week. Better drying anticipated by Wednesday, January 9, with warmest temperatures away from the immediate east coast, especially toward the Western Interior sectors near 80F. This, in sharp contrast to 3  years ago,  when there was several bouts of sleet in some locations on this same date with highs around 39F. 

BEYOND: Nary a whimper of cold on the horizon until at least around January 18th (so far). We are entering the climato-'logically' (sort of an oxymoron isn't it?) coldest period of Central and South Florida though from Mid-January through the first week of February. So far, and cold spell (per se) is not shown to even come close to what has already been experienced, nor and if even so, last more than 24 hours. 

Interestingly, I just did a search on "oxymoron" in Google and the top choice was "The Orlando Sentinel". Oxymoron sort of is an oxymoron in itself, lacking oxygen to the brain.

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