"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Thursday, December 3, 2015

Very Breezy this Weekend: Cooler Next Week (but not cold)

TODAY: Frontal boundary crossed Central Florida shortly after 7AM this morning - will wash out down south of Lake Okeechobee. At only 2000 ft AGL (Above Ground Level) the boundary is further north into parts of South Central Florida. The 5000 ft level trough has never even reached Central Florida and might never do so. The morning GFS model shows whatever is left of the 850mb trough will never make it much further south than I4 later tomorrow. What that means is no real pronounced drying out in the state except mainly nearer I-10 toward I4.

Chance of sprinkles as far north as Canaveral later today though for the most part during the weekend other than maybe a brief interval here or there, the better rain chances will be closer to a Vero Beach to Sarasota line and south through the Keys all through Friday as well.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY: After the 850 mb trough passes to the north of the state tomorrow high pressure at that level will build east behind it to the north of Florida. In doing so the pressure gradient will increase as will the surface winds beginning sometime late Friday into Friday night. Saturday into the first half of Sunday (at least) could be breezy with gusts over 30 mph at times. Better rain chances though will remain mainly across the Southern 1/3 of the state, at least per the morning model guidance. That means that in general this weekend is not looking all too great for the east coast beaches but temperatures will be at least a bit cooler than say for example, Wednesday , where highs got into the 80Fs.  Temperatures will mainly be in the mid 60Fs to mid-70Fs range with ample cloud cover and rain chances...along with being very breezy.

MONDAY; A surface low is expected to form very close to if not on the peninsula. The GFS implies it would form along an inverted EastCoast coastal trough which is forecast to form overnight Sunday night into early Monday. By Monday morning the winds will have diminished drastically (at least as it stands today). 

 Chance of showers near the east coast Sunday night into early Monday. As a weak surface low forms nearby and strengthens as it moves away NNW winds could circulate much drier and cooler air across the state from particularly Tuesday through the remainder of the week. 

No cold weather is foreseen, though lows inland could be in the mid 50Fs range with highs in the upper 60Fs to mid70Fs being common into Friday.

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