|Sunrise - Cape Canaveral This Morning|
SATURDAY: Again, sea breeze convergence related thunderstorm activity this time shifting more toward the center of the state as ridge over Florida begins to shift east. Focus by guidance as of this morning is Central Florida but more isolated in nature than it will be later today (Friday).
SUNDAY: Big changes in store as tropical moisture surge with surface low to mid level pressures lift north and east from the Yucatan. Sunday 'similar' to Saturday but with a focus more toward the east coast as steering will be strong from SW toward the NE with some perhaps a bit strong Central Volusia up through Jax area.
BEYOND: Monday/Tuesday - though various longer range guidance varies, the GFS implies low pressure to lift north of the Yucatan and toward the east central Gulf of Mexico to just SW of the Tampa area with stronger veering winds up through the mid levels across much of the state beginning late Monday afternoon and into early Tuesday.
Though it's too early to say with much certainty combined with that there is not enough agreement between other forms of guidance, if the GFS were to verify in it's over-all solution a tornado threat could emerge for much of the state mainly from south of line running from Cedar Key to Ormond Beach. Worth watching.
This system does not appear would be a true tropical wind threat due to stronger winds aloft which ,though more favorable for mini-supercell like storm structures, would not be a conducive for tropical storm development.
Otherwise, should this system cross the state making for a 'window of opportunity for perhaps some larger rainfall totals (so far near I-4 into much of Central and South Central)...once it were to move east of the state a several day 'dry out' period will be in order.