The best convergence will be near the front; however(!) - <gotta love ('howevers')>, it appears there is little in the mid-level moisture parameter north of I-4, and south of I-4 toward Melbourne is starting to dry out as well where convergence will not be as formidable for storm formation.
|Conservative Approach to Shower and Thunder Coverage today, Possibly overboard|
on the Strong Department Since any Strong Storms might be short lived. Strong due to wind gusts
BEYOND: Thursday looks a bit similar to today with slower storm motions and better chances yet still of a sea breeze convergence. The front will sink just maybe a bit further south and continue to become more diffuse/indiscernible during the frontalysis process, while the upper level trough and winds remain positioned for SW flow aloft. Thus, chance of showers and some isolated thunder continues close to the surface to mid-level boundary, mainly Central and North Central .
Continuing the road ahead, we're seeing only light onshore easterly flow and close to no- flow at the steering level, leading to a drifting inland shower regime with coastal showers also possible from the Cape and south to Miami. No change in temperatures,