Further North, latest satellite imagery is showing several lines of cumulus and showers well to the ENE of the state, but they are currently making a bee line toward Eastern portions of the North half of the state. If this batch of moisture is to arrive, it would not be until after 3:30pm North Florida and closer toward 6pm the further south one goes. Interesting that the latest RUC 18 hour run is trying to wrap deeper moisture around from where showers are occurring over Palm Beach County Northward as Bret inches away later today and opens up the broad low pressure circulation the is encompassing most of the peninsula today.and brings a bigger wave of showers in on Northern Brevard about the same time as the other batch arrives which does not make sense. Either way, all the models are showing that eventually there will be isolated rain showers, moving into North Florida at some point or another today, so I drew it in..although that chance honestly seems a bit sketchy right now...and would not be willing to bet more than 3 dollars on it at this point. I didn't bite on that idea yesterday, and the models were really going to town on the chance up there... Then again, I'm not the gambling type.
BEYOND: Mostly a far South Florida rain chance tomorrow, but much less of one than today as Bret and its accompanying mid level low pressure axis pull out of the area down there. We will be transitioning tomorrow from Bret's departure..and there will be few focal points other than moisture convergence boundaries along the sea breeze and lake breeze fronts. By Wednesday, it looks Bret will be far enough away to leave most of the state in a neutral state of affairs, favoring a late afternoon sea breeze convergence in the far interior. However, this is a big departure from previous lines of model reasoning which mostly only had South Central Florida under the 'chance of rain' gun.
Not going to dive into anything in regard to where rains will occur later in the week. Showers/thunder will remain mostly isolated through Thursday and possibly Friday with late afternoon and early evening thunderstorms where moisture convergence is maximized over the interior sectors west of I-95. Rain chances should be best over South Central Florida through Friday. Into the weekend a boundary might be approaching the Deep South, and overall atmospheric moisture profiles are expected to increase significantly along and ahead of the boundary over North and northern portions of North Central Florida for higher thunder and rain chances.
Will leave it vague for today otherwise. Tropical Storm 'Brat' is disrupting the normal afternoon shower and thunderstorm diurnal cycle and needs to be GONE post-haste so we can return to our normal lives.