"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Wednesday, November 4, 2009

Classic Fallish OnShore Flow Days In Store

Couldn't be more of a classic coastal fall day if it tried any harder. If you can picture this, we have brisk onshore winds (off the ocean) in which cool air is modified as it crosses the warmer ocean waters creating partly cloudy skies. Otherwise, little to no mid-upper level dynamics and/or surface boundaries in the air exist to generate weather havoc (rain)...this leaves the coastal counties in East Central Florida under conditions with little as far as diurnal temperature variations and cloud coverage. From a purely observational viewpoint (the days before I actually tried to analyze what was going on atmospherically speaking), such conditions can be prevalent for seemingly days on end with little day to day variation. It can go on for a week like this from an outside perspective. When one digs deeper though, you can see where things are changing aloft here and there in variations of parameters, just not enough to make things interesting down here on the surface.

High pressure moving across the Mississippi River Valley and off the extreme SE U.S. coast will persist for a number of days. One high pressure center to be followed by another, and yet another after that. This only enhances the current weather now in place over our area, and for the most part leaves benign weather over a large portion of the Eastern U.S. other than the Great Lakes region where fronts will have a little more punch dynamically speaking.

So for today, I'd expect a somewhat breezy day, and after looking a satellite imagery expect a lot of high clouds off and on. The wind will be off the ocean out of the ENE. Some early morning scrappy stratocumulus will likely be gone by the time anyone reads this, but nonetheless they are here as I type. The further south one goes down the peninsula into extreme southeast Florida the more likely one is to see a chance of rain today...that area being closer to the old frontal boundary that plagued and complicated the forecast in this area for days is now a faded memory. The biggest challenge is to figure out when significant rain chances will again enter the picture. From an outside perspective, if memory serves me correctly, such changes can seem to come on rather abruptly and sometimes unexpectedly (but again, that's from an outside perspective).

But for now, suffice it to say we are in the clear across the central peninsula lest there be a very isolated, extremely short lived spritz just about anywhere in the next couple of days. One really has to go into next week to see even anything potentially siggy...and being as far out as that is, we can leave that for another day.

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