WEATHER MADE CLEAR FOR ALL TO HEAR

"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
“The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the National Weather Service or affiliate/related organizations. Please consult .gov sites for official information”

"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Thursday, July 2, 2015

Are Isolated Pulse Severe/Strong Possible Again Today?

IMAGE NOT MUCH DIFFERENT FROM YESTERDAY: Many factors
are close to the same as were for yesterday - Near Severe Late SW - Parts of Central also "Possible"
and Perhaps Panhandle as well..any storms to move off east coast 'would' be late if at all

NOTE: "Possible" means possible not probable
TODAY: KSC sounding came in with near -8.5C and 6.5C at 500 and 700mb respectively at a quick eye-balling glance per the SMG (Space Meteorology Group) web link. Forecast convective available potential energy (CAPE) is near moderate though suspect in the early to mid afternoon it might dwindle a bit. Yesterday there was a CAP strength of 4 (presumably) but today it is zero. Yesterday the convective temperature was 94F and today it is 92F. Early this morning it looked a bit hazy like there was subsidence in the lower levels, at least around the beaches. That implies stability which should break but not likely well enough as the sea breezes emerge and shift in land.

What this spells out is some earlier initiation for some areas and that is the case over SE Florida. There was one report of ping pong balls (1.50" hail) yesterday with several .70 -.88 inch dimes and nicklels. It does rain money afterall~ ! Not sure we'll go for a par with golf balls but who knows. Then again, it's Florida and much depends on low level convergence and proper timing. There was a report of a 'large' waterspout off shore Indialantic Beach yesterday as well.  

 0756 PM WATER SPOUT 1 MILE EAST INDIALANTIC  
07/01/2015  FL   TRAINED SPOTTER   
TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A LARGE WATERSPOUT OFF OF INDIALANTIC

Radar Image Late Afternoon with Two Severe Warnings in Yellow Boxes

The net estimate is, perhaps the same for today but evolving in whatever way it will be. There is no real info out there to say otherwise, though moisture profile is a bit different aloft and that could change everything but will go with 
persistence.

BEYOND: The ridge axis at the surface will lift toward Central Direct by Friday 
into Saturday but aloft it remains a bit to the south. Thus, steering continues toward the east side north of Fort Pierce or Vero Beach but very slowly..the net 
effect would be in general to keep storms pegged west to near I-95 with perhaps a drift to the east coast later, or increasing cloud coverage at least.

Fourth of July continues to show for about a 40-50% percent coverage inland 
late afternoon and early evening. Any showers or thunder close to the east 
coast would occur earlier in the day (as it stands now).

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