"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Monday, January 21, 2013

Partly to Mostly Clowny, Mixed Sun, Light Winds Continue

Lot's of Bozos and some Ronalds Today with a chance of Ringlings

The Reason for posting this image (reflective via the GFS (Global Forecast System) Model for today, is that this appears will be in  very general synoptic scale surface pattern terms, the trend through late this month. That is to say, high pressure centers continually building SE ward from the Upper Rockies with dynamics with frontal boundaries passing to the north of the state
TODAY: Light winds today and mostly cloudy to sometimes partly cloudy. A mix of sun and clouds, with clearing some areas while others not so much. It really is nearly impossible to say where and who will experience what. In general though, temperatures not far off from yesterday but with less wind this afternoon. Likewise, highs today in the low to mid 70Fs depending on cloud extent with a few light showers and sprinkles mainly south of I-4 are always possible. Lows tonight similar to last night.

TUESDAY: With winds already hedging on northerly, any frontal boundary to skirt on through will only re-enforce what is already in place and increase momentarily a rain chance. Some guidance is calling for showers on Friday or Saturday but that too could end up being a period of increased cloud coverage, and it is possible that even if it does rain it might be over-night. GFS has shifted gears pretty radically the past 48 hours in this regard. The main thing we'd probably all like to know is how much sun, how much wind, and how cold (or warm). 

WEDNESDAY: This seems to be the day going into Thursday where cloud coverage will be least extensive with temperatures cooler but not cold except away from the beaches earlier in the first half of the morning hours. Otherwise, highs in the mid to upper 60Fs for the most part and lows in the 40Fs Wednesday and Thursday. Latest guidance is showing that from Canaveral and South close to the beach we will not see one day getting below 50F degrees through the end of the month. That can be used at this point as a measuring stick for what to expect. In regard to clouds, if it is not lower clouds it's higher clouds. The periods of NO CLOUDS are few and far between but undoubtedly we will see them if but for 1/2 to most of a day here or there.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY: A more definitive frontal boundary will be gliding by with more significant drying of the atmosphere, but that too is short lived with the greatest 'cold air impacts' restricted to west of the Banana or Indian Rivers. Drier air associated with that upcoming front last perhaps 36 hours before return on shore flow reverts conditions back to status quo.

In Summary: Although there are some changes in store, there is nothing significant in the upcoming week in regard to big rains or cold temperatures outside of what we've been experiencing the past 10 days. The trend continues until around the last 2 or 3 days of the month which is well beyond model reliability anyway. One could say, the point in making a blog post today is that there is no point in writing one when push comes to shove, other than to note that no big cold blasts or heavy storms are foreseen for quite some time in the current pattern (s) on tap. 

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