"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
“The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily represent those of the National Weather Service or affiliate/related organizations. Please consult .gov sites for official information”

"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Saturday, July 27, 2013

Thunderstorms Today through Monday

A General depiction of the type of rains that might fall and where today. Realizing this is only in very general terms. East side at beaches might mainly see Post Storm debris cloud type rains except north of route 50 or toward the Beachline where thunder could possibly work offshore
TODAY: Yesterday's post was generally on track on  the sea breezes converging and mainly piling up toward Central interior west toward Central and then South into Broward County. Today the steering is more from west to east and sea breezes will again work inland after heating of the day and then converge toward the interior Central "North to South" strip following a longitude line near and through the Orlando Metro.

Timing on boundary collisions (esp. after 5pm) along with Lake Breezes and any sudden and unexpected surges of either the east or west coast sea breeze will impact the timing issues as well as storm strength.

A few storms could become strong, but the primary hazard will be wet roads and blinding rains, especially for folks 'fleeing the beaches' or just heading back home from them later in the afternoon. Lightning a greater hazard inland but possibly closer to the beaches of North Titusville and north of there where some of the stronger activity might be able to work off shore.

South of the Brevard/Volusia line activity might hold off altogether, but much depends on the timing issues and storm strength regarding whether or not 'lightning' can work east of I-95 or US1 since steering will only be about 8-10 mph and storms will have a hard time maintaining their integrity for a sufficient length of time to make the trek to the beach before losing their punch unless they can find a filling station along the way.

SUNDAY: Sunday looks very similar to today for all purposes, but undoubtedly there will be some idiosyncrasies yet to be known that might be revealed after today is through.

MONDAY: A similar day yet again, but activity might have a trend more interior and less east coast as "Dorian" which might hardly be in existence by then works west, and the ridge axis that has been east and south of Florida begins to lift north  shifting activity by evening away from the east coast.

BEYOND: Depends on either remnant Dorian or weakly Depressed Dorian to  non-existent Dorian. The GFS seems to say the remnants pass well south of Florida whereas the Euro continues a track toward Florida looking more like an MCV (mesoscale convective vortex) rather than a tropical entity. Other models are not even acknowledging that Dorian even exists when they last were run last night if that tells us anything (which is probably should).

TUESDAY-FRIDAY: Looks like a big drying out time, not entirely, but the east coast might run in the clear (unless the Euro verifies) for quite a while for the most part.


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