"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Sunday, February 23, 2014

Chance of Storms, Maybe Strong, Mainly North Central

TODAY: As expected, 'possibly (emphasis added)  strong' storms again today for mainly North Central Florida where a few 'could be strong' if they can get going.  Showers and maybe thunder possible further south especially much later, but for now will not highlight that area as at this time it appears the regions of South Central and South are very dry in the mid levels and will require some extra forcing from convergence or a trigger, and not sure either of which there will be strong enough to get something going, but if so it could also be strong.

Further north though to Central the same general theme of query applies, but with a few more things going for that area, mainly more moisture and good bulk shear through the mid-levels (or at least some) and perhaps a tad more directional shear today as well. Instability is not as great today as yesterday though, but we do have a disturbance with a definite trigger crossing North Florida right now. In any case, might need to watch for activity to begin to manifest after 2:00pm and be particularly cautious if a storm starts to 'drop more south the move east' (be a 'right mover') especially as they reach the sea breeze, or any storm that approaches more from the NW-NNW instead of the west.  

BEYOND: Chance of showers still into Tuesday and/or Wednesday with each day being a bit different. So far, Monday looks to be the quieter of days, and Tuesday has the potential to again reap the harvest of more favorable parameters  for  a strong storm or so.

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