TODAY: Loco for thunder, get'm while they're hot;
In coming days, they will be naught.
Today appears to be the last day of a chance of storm coverage greater than around 20 percent by National Weather Service Standards. Greatest coverage area could end up being around the North and east side of Lake Okeechobee. Latest RAP model implies a late sea breeze convergence zone toward sunset after the atmosphere is already in the stabilization process but wouldn't hold it against it if storms can manifest (one or two) late toward that time in the Orlando southward areas and north along the Suwannee River Valley Basin well west of JAX proper. A stronger storm might be able to manifest somewhere in Brevard as well as near the Big Lake as a result of sea breeze outflow boundary meetings, but due to lack of a true west meets east collison until very late (as implied as of 8AM only)...greater coverage of anything other than random garden variety 'thundershowers' is not anticipated.
BEYOND: Atlantic ridge axis which has been south of Central toward the Big Lake as far south as the Straits will lift north and pinch off in coming days. A part of which will bubble northward into the Dixie area after a trough passes by today and tomorrow.
From that point on the winds aloft become more Northerly due to clockwise circulations around the high pressure area, and drier/suppressing atmosphere in the uppers.... but moistures remains in the lowers. The overall experience will likely be very warm temperatures inland away from the sea breezes with higher heat indices due to moist surface dewpoint air with few clouds and/or showers to squelch the flames.
So, while coastal residents are saying 'business as usual' , they will be basking in ignorance of what is occurring inland where folks in disgruntlement will be crying, "who turned up the heat so late in the summer?!" Hope the schools have A/C up and in good working order or there is going to be some mighty gripey kids coming home for those whose school week begins today.
Otherwise, not much chance of rain for east coasters for a good week at least and only a slight increase of it much of anywhere until late week.
Top Image Courtesy of Jim "Dryliner" (Cortez, CO)