"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Saturday, September 6, 2014

Heavy Storms With Isolated Cases of Stronger Winds Possible East Central

TODAY: Broad low pressure through the mid-levels circulates across North Florida and South Georgia places all of Central in generally a WSW-SW storm steering flow (toward the NE-ENE). Atmospheric moisture is plentiful as well, which could make for again some heavier rainfall totals exceeding 2 inches.

Greatest instability will be over South Florida into South Central, with winds just above the surface from the SW-SSW-S this instability might be able to advect toward East Central if activity holds off until after 2-3pm in that area. The East Coast Sea-breeze would be able to manifest and penetrate perhaps as far inland as I-95 if not further, though any early day activity after noon time until 2pm could offset that boundary with outflows that form from earlier showers further inland. Steering should be toward the east coast just a little stronger than yesterday. Some winds gusts in the 40-50 mph range were reported at very observation points used by the National Weather Service, with one gust of 58mph, though some of them were  40-50 feet above the ground. 

Water overloading with such high moisture content along the sea breeze / outflow convergence areas as storm begin to collapse could result in strong winds again though which outflow well from the source of origin in almost any direction. Thus, once the debut is over and the show gets going, almost anything could happen from that point on, almost anywhere toward the East half of the state south of I-4.

SUNDAY: Sunday again looks to be another variation of yesterday and what today will do, but again, it will much be contingent upon remaining cloud coverage from today's activities and where anything might surprise us over night. Yesterday there was some upper level energy over Central which is not showing up today, but is over North Florida right now and hence the activity there.
Too many variables for certainty regarding the most likely regions for storms, but regardless, they will be occurring somewhere tomorrow in similar fashion.

MONDAY-TUESDAY: Monday appears to be similar with ample moisture with weakening eastward steering but not entirely. Tuesday is a bit up for grabs as to whether or not the pattern will be fully broken down yet or not, though at this point it appears most activity will remain over the interior outside of overnight to mid-morning isolated coastal activities either side of the state .

It can be noted that during to just after the first week of September the generic thunder storm season can start to draw to a close over all for certain parts of the state, as it has in past years, namely at the east coast. Though they can still occur, the easterly flow begins to dominate more and more going into Mid-Month as high pressure settles in north and east of the state in mid-Atlantic. The last day true thunderstorms manifested near the immediate east Central coast last year as part of the annual cycle was September 6.

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