"But seeing they could not See; hearing they could not Hear"
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"From its chamber comes the whirlwind, and cold from the scattering winds." - Job 37:9.

"The wind blows to the south and turns to the north; round and round it goes, ever returning on its course".

Thursday, August 6, 2009

Thursday, August 6 (9:00 AM)

Another beautiful morning in Cape Canaveral. Went to the beach to shoot photos. Please note that a follow up forecast/analysis will be posted between 11am-1pm.
The two strongest storm'ie' systems this morning were over W. Central Kansas and the Florida Keys which I thought was pretty interesting. Can sum up today pretty easily...not much change. The Tampa sounding hasn't come in yet nor have the 12z runs, but 00z models are fairly consistent with each other so far in the mid-term, whereas short changes are inevitable.

The difference locally this morning is that there is more activity over the Atlantic than yesterday, but this will have no affect locally. Winds aloft change little in speed or direction today (they do increase a tad at 25,000 ft) and moisture at all levels will remain abundant. Expect sea-breeze onset between 10:00-11:30am with the ever present coastal activity to begin within 1-2 hours before/after that.
Worthy of note, the RUC is not indicating any pre-seabreeze or initial seabreeze activity along the east coast today (but the NAM is), but rather leaves it all for sometime after 2:30pm, so that will be interesting to see which one verifies. If it does initiate there is always the remote possibility of a funnel along or near the intercoastal/coast. Was looking pretty good yesterday shortly before noon but no cigar. We might be better off if the early stuff doesn't initiate, as that seems to kill coastal instability from the get go leaving mid-high cloud grunge.

Storms will again have a hard time making it east of I-95 later in the afternoon although some of the stronger ones will make it in strong format to US1 (based on consistency of the past few days). Strongest activity to reach the east coast will most likely be from Titusville and north. Not expecting any severe storms today but rainfall totals might add up once again as they did inland yesterday. Not all the CoCoRAHS reports were in yet last I looked, but radar estimates confirm that indeed the heaviest rainfall yesterday was right along I-95 and west (except again...N. of Titusville where it made it to the coast). Inland totals were 0.5" to just over 2" although TV last night mentioned some totals over 4"). Most coastal locations received a trace or less. I'll check CoCoRAHS again before making the late morning/noon forecast update.

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